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Tue, 13 October 2020

Equities

US bank earnings quick take: JPM beats

JPMorgan: Q3 EPS of $2.92 beat expectations for $2.35 on revenues of $29.95 vs the $28.39bn expected. Net income came in at $9.4bn, vs $4.7bn in the second quarter, with the doubling the result of much lower provisions for credit losses.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Tue, 13 October 2020

US Presidential Election

Blonde Money: US Presidential Election – It’ll be Alright on the Night

Many expect November’s election results to be chaotic, with predictions that coronavirus and political polarisation will result in recount requests and mail-in voting delaying results by weeks. In reality, the logistics and legislation that underpin the voting process mean a delayed result is very unlikely.

Written By:
Helen Thomas

Tue, 13 October 2020

Morning Note

Wall Street enjoys tech rally on Apple, Amazon events

You got a sense yesterday that an old friend was back in town and everyone wanted to take her out: Tina (There is no alternative) reappeared with retail investors trying to take her out for a drink again. The Nasdaq whale maybe also reappeared with some large options activity going on.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Mon, 12 October 2020

Investments

Apple event: AAPL shares rise amid 5G iPhone 12 leaks and reveal

Apple is expected to unveil its new 5G-capable iPhone 12 on Tuesday with investors eyeing how the new product line-up will drive top sales growth in the near-term. It could be the most important event in several years for Apple as it seeks to drive an upgrade supercycle.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Mon, 12 October 2020

Morning Note

Bank of England lays ground for negative rates

The Bank of England is laying the groundwork for a descent into negative interest rates. This should worry us all. In a letter to banks today, deputy governor Sam Woods asked firms to detail their “current readiness to deal with a zero Bank Rate, a negative Bank Rate, or a tiered system of reserves remuneration – and the steps that you would need to take to prepare for the implementation of these”.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Sun, 11 October 2020

Week Ahead

Week Ahead: Banks get Q3 earnings season underway, US presidential election watch

The start of Q3 earnings season is sure to bring heightened volatility this week, but what about the second showdown between Trump and Biden? The President’s coronavirus diagnosis seems to have pushed more undecided voters into Biden’s camp – it doesn’t like there will be a debate but we are looking at ongoing developments in the campaign.

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Fri, 9 October 2020

US Presidential Election

Election update: Blue-nami flips to consensus bull catalyst

Bank of America strategists say the Blue-nami outcome, which had been initially considered negative for equities, is being priced in better by the market and may now be a positive. “Blue wave election outcome (Democrats winning) has curiously flipped from consensus bear to bull catalyst in recent months,” they say.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Fri, 9 October 2020

Morning Note

UK growth cools, British Land resumes dividend

UK growth unexpectedly cooled  in August, signalling a slower pace of recovery into the back-end of the year. Meanwhile the FTSE 100 rose above 6,000 for the first time in three weeks but this level continues to act as a very difficult barrier for bulls to clear. The S&P 500 closed up 0.8% at the highs of the day at 3,446. The Dow added 0.43% for its third positive session of the week and the Nasdaq added 0.5%. House speaker Nancy Pelosi said Democrats would reject any standalone stimulus packages. But we know stimulus of some sort is coming either before or after the election – the problem emerges if there is a contested election. 

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Thu, 8 October 2020

Morning Note

TalkTalk bid, IMB up on smoking, S&P 500 breaks range

The yo-yo week on Wall Street continues with stocks bouncing after Donald Trump tweeted support for a range of fiscal stimulus measures, having earlier set the market down by calling off talks on a comprehensive package until after the election. Whether it’s now or after November, what’s been made clear to investors is that fiscal stimulus is on its way.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

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